Raialyoum

The Iraqi front and Hormuz closure are more powerful than nuclear bombs.

Why is Jordanian-Syrian worry growing about this possibility?


It is impossible to understand the present, future, and outcomes of the American-Israeli war, which was ignited by the American president against Iran and completed its second week today, without conducting a thorough study of the first statement with which Mr. Ayatollah Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei, the third Supreme Leader, inaugurated the beginning of his rule in Tehran and his leadership of the resistance from his "haven," a secret location in the Iranian capital.

This declaration makes two strategic points that are regarded as the most essential of its five themes: the first is the continuous closing of the Strait of Hormuz, and the second is the expansion of resistance to attack and the establishment of new fronts. The first, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, is considered the most powerful nuclear bomb ever achieved and has yielded its initial rich fruits, given the global economic war it has sparked, with the most prominent title being a significant increase in energy prices (oil and gas), a threefold increase in insurance fees for its tankers and other commercial ships, and the collapse of global stock markets.

The second regional nuclear bomb, which we believe is the extension of warfronts and the joining of new states with them, has begun with the opening of the Iraqi front. This opening may be the most militarily perilous, given the consequences for most neighbouring countries that are indirectly involved, particularly Jordan and Gulf states. The presence of American bases on their soil and the vulnerability of their self-defence capabilities are shared by them, as opposed to Iran, which is considered a nuclear threshold state and has military, missile, and drone industries, as well as a land area potentially larger than all of these countries combined.

The downing of an American KC-132 aircraft specialising in refuelling Israeli and American bombers and fighters heading to bomb targets deep in Iran and western Iraq, as well as the deaths of six of its crew members, were the first indication that Iraq, with its Shiite majority, would join the Iranian defence trench in facing American aggression. This move came after reports surfaced that Iran was equipping Iraqi opposition organisations with upgraded "surface-to-air" missiles to take down Israeli and American aircraft launched from American military sites in Jordan and in the Israeli occupation state.

Six Iraqi resistance factions, including the Al-Nujaba Movement, Hezbollah Iraq, Ansar Allah Al-Awfiya, Sayyid Al-Shuhada Brigades, Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq, and Karbala Brigades, openly support Iran and defend its trenches against this Israeli-American dual aggression. All of these groupings are under the umbrella of the "Popular Mobilisation Forces".

Our trusted Iraqi sources have informed us that Sunni Iraqi factions may unite with their Shiite counterparts to fight against America, which has betrayed them, and Israel, the occupying state of Palestine, which is committing genocide in the Gaza Strip.

The American miracle may turn against its owners, and we must remember and remind ourselves that the "Sunni resistance" in Iraq played an important role in confronting the American occupation, killing at least 6,000 of its soldiers and forcing its president, Barack Obama, to withdraw from Iraq in November 2011 to minimise losses.

Colleagues from Jordan report that there is a lot of worry among officials and the public because of the quick changes in Iraq related to plans to increase resistance against American and Israeli actions against Iran and the growing chance that this could spread to Jordan, especially with American bases there that launch missiles to hit Iranian drones and missiles directly.

The eastern Jordanian border with Iraq is more than 181 km long, and almost a million Iraqi factions assembled along it a year ago, threatening to storm it and reach the occupied Palestinian territory. This scenario is likely to be replicated in its Jordanian and Syrian portions to achieve this goal again, which a responsible Jordanian source saw as an existential threat to Jordan and Syria's new temporary rule. The latter exhibits no benevolence towards either Iraq or Iran, placing all its trust in the United States.

Iraq has transitioned into a frontline state, primarily positioned in the Iranian defence trench, marking a significant shift in the ongoing battle and bolstering the resistance against American-Israeli aggression. The repeated attacks on the American embassy in Baghdad and the "independent" Green Zone, which serves as the core of American power and occupation, mark the beginning of this shift.

The series of American and Israeli losses in this war has begun with enormous intensity, with the number of American casualties reaching around 16 in less than two weeks, in addition to the bombing of the aircraft carriers Lincoln and Gerald Ford, inflicting more than two thousand casualties on the Israelis, as well as widespread destruction in most of Tel Aviv and the flight of hundreds of thousands of settlers in search of safety. Most crucially, the Iranian regime is growing stronger, more expansive, and more resilient, despite its aggressor's attempts to destabilise and replace it with another puppet regime.

In conclusion... We are waiting for the opening of the Yemeni front, which may be decisive at any time, and Mr Abdul-Malik al-Houthi has begun to create the path for this move by stating in his recent speeches that the finger is on the trigger... And the aggressor governments, particularly Israel and America, may face "shocking" surprises in the coming days, and we await them.